Futures of education: The vision

At times of uncertainty, clarity of vision is more important than ever. The flagship report Reimagining Our Futures Together: A New Social Contract for Education proposes a human-centred vision for the renewal of education that is hopeful, urgent, and audacious.

No trend is destiny...Multiple alternative futures are possible... A new social contract for education needs to allow us to think differently about learning and the relationships between students, teachers, knowledge, and the world.

International Commission on the Futures of Education 2021 Report2021 Report

Why a new social contract for education?

We need a new social contract for education that can repair past injustices while transforming the future. Education has come a long way in access, reach, and gender parity over the past century. But progress has been uneven. Many of today鈥檚 gaps are based on yesterday鈥檚 exclusions and injustices. 

The world also faces complex disruptions and uncertain futures. Humanity鈥檚 relationships with each other, with technology, and with the planet Earth are out of balance. We need to relearn interdependencies for just, equitable, and sustainable futures. 

We now face a key turning point. Will we continue an unsustainable path, or will we radically change course? Education cannot only react. Learning and knowledge play a key role to play in building just, equitable and sustainable futures. A new social contract for education is needed to reimagine how education can help humanity change course. 

new social contract FoE

Foundational principles

Three central principles underpin and animate the call for a new social contract for education.

  1. Quality education throughout life is a human right.
    All people鈥檚 right to quality, relevant and accessible education must be ensured and protected. Exclusions and discrimination must be eradicated.
  2. Education is a collective public endeavour and a common good. 
    Education must enable individuals and communities to flourish together. Education must be sufficiently supported as a public endeavour and must be protected from commercialization and profiteering. 
  3. Education depends on protecting and enriching the knowledge commons.
    Education must reflect humanity鈥檚 wide diversity of ways of knowing, living, and being.  For too long, narratives of development and education have prioritized only certain measures of what progress means. Not only has this been far too narrow, but it has been insufficient to the complex challenges we now face.  We need to draw much more on the diverse perspectives, histories and sources of knowledge of our interconnected world.

Action areas

Pedagogy should foster the intellectual, social, and moral capacities needed to make meaningful and relevant connections between students, teachers, knowledge, and the wider world. Too often, education is organized around competition 鈥 for grades, resources, and rankings 鈥 to the detriment of learning to live and work together in an interconnected world. Pedagogies of cooperation and solidarity can be embraced at every age and stage of learning to promote interdisciplinary problem-solving, to foster the expression of diversity and pluralism, to unlearn divisiveness and repair injustices, and to ensure that assessment effectively supports learning.

There is greater access to knowledge today than ever before, but curricula often fall short in connecting knowledge with present and future priorities. Curricula should go beyond a siloed grid of subjects to foster meaningful participation in the knowledge commons. Curricula can mine the breadth and depth of various disciplines 鈥 including literacy, numeracy, scientific inquiry, technology, humanities and the arts 鈥 while making essential connections among them to engage with ecological, intercultural, and interdisciplinary knowledge. 

Teacher quality is one of the most important determinants of learning. Yet, the teaching profession faces worrying shortages and shortfalls, while struggling to adapt to changing needs. Teaching must be reframed as a collaborative profession, receiving sufficient recognition, value, and supportive working conditions. Teacher education and development must be designed across the professional lifecycle, from novice induction to established experience. 

Connected technology must advance aspirations for inclusive education that facilitates sustainable development based on principles of social and economic justice, equity, and respect for human rights. Key decisions about digital technologies for education and knowledge need to be made in the public sphere and be guided by the principle of education as a public endeavour and a common good. Technology must support the reimagining of education in ways that serve shared futures, and not a handful of private interests. While technology has tremendous potential for improving our lives, it cannot fulfill this promise unless we steer it equitably and ethically.

Our relationship to the planet is far out of balance, and humanity鈥檚 one living, common homeland is under existential threat.鈥疎ducation should equip us to adapt to accelerating changes across the planet while also enabling societies to mitigate and renew a harmonious balance with the Earth. The future also holds increasing consequences of climate change on education, including displacement and migration. Greening education involves four pillars: greening schools as examples of carbon neutrality; integrating climate education into school curricula, integrate climate education and capacities in teacher training and education systems, and engaging entire communities in environmental education and action

Learning never ends. Education must be extended and enriched in all times and spaces, strengthening networks of educational spaces for a flourishing learning society. Work, caretaking, leisure, artistic pursuits, cultural practices, sports, civic and community life, social action, infrastructure, digital and media engagement, among others, are all meaningful learning opportunities for shared futures. As social and economic conditions change, adult education will need to open opportunities for career change and reskilling, creating multiple, flexible pathways. Lifelong learning design should prioritize inclusion of the most marginalized, including those who are displaced.

The mission of higher education needs renewal. Recent years have seen a growing critique of higher education as out of touch with what students and societies need for the future.The value of higher education will need to go beyond competitive rankings to instead improve teaching and research capacities among all higher education institutions to fulfil their public mission. Cooperative work between students, the development of research projects, problem-solving, individual study, seminar dialogue, field work, writing, action research, community projects 鈥 these and many other pedagogical forms need to infuse higher education. Partnerships across communities, sectors, and institutions can increase perspectives and strengthen the capacity to address complex problems. 

Catalyzing a new social contract

A new research agenda for education 

Catalyzing a new social contract for education requires a worldwide, collaborative research agenda grounded in the right to education throughout life, and welcoming contributions from grassroots associations, educators, institutions, sectors, and a diversity of cultures. Reimagining the future of education is not the task of an elite few; it is the inter-generational, daily, and lifelong project of teachers, students, schools, researchers, communities, among many more. Knowledge, data, and evidence for the futures of education must be inclusive of diverse sources and ways of knowing, and educational innovation must respond meaningfully to context. 

 

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Global solidarity and international cooperation

Educational stakeholders need to work together at global and regional levels to generate shared purposes and common solutions to educational challenges. Participation must include diverse non-state actors and partnerships, move away from top-down towards multi-centric action, and embrace new forms of regional cooperation, especially South-South and triangular cooperation.  International cooperation should operate from a principle of subsidiarity, supporting and building capacity in local, national, and regional efforts to address challenges.

 

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Contextualising the report

Sustainable development challenges and the role of education

Our foresight work, looking towards 2050, envisions possible futures in which education shapes a better world. Our starting point is observation of the multiple, interlocking challenges the world currently faces and how to renew learning and knowledge to steer policies and practices along more sustainable pathways.The challenges are great. But there are reasons for optimism, no trend is destiny.

This research agenda is wide-ranging and multifaceted as a future-oriented, planet-wide learning process on our futures together. It draws from diverse forms of knowledge and perspectives, and from a conceptual framework that sees insights from diverse sources as complementary rather than exclusionary and adversarial.

Changing demographics
  • The global population is projected to reach a peak at around 10.4 billion people during the 2080s, nearly double the global population of 1990 (5.3 billion)
  • There will be an estimated 170 million displaced people by 2050, equivalent to 2.3% of the global population
  • Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to be home to some 1/3 of the global population by 2050

"A new social contract for education requires renewed commitment to global collaboration in support of education as a common good, premised on more just and equitable cooperation among state and non-state actors. Beyond North-South flows of aid to education, the generation of knowledge and evidence through South-South and triangular cooperation must be strengthened."

No trends is destiny population FoE
Aging population
  • The number of persons aged 65 years or older worldwide is expected to double over the next three decades, reaching 1.6 billion in 2050 (16% of global population)

"Human longevity may also increase and perhaps with it, at least for some, the extension of the work period of life. If older people can remain active and engaged, they will enrich society and the economy through their skills and experience."

Aging population FoE
Planetary crisis
  • Global temperatures are expected to increase 2.7 degrees by 2100, leading to devastating global consequences
  • Humans currently use as as many ecological resources as is we lived on 1.75 Earths

"The planet is in peril (...) Here children and youth already lead the way, calling for meaningful action and delivering a harsh rebuke to those who refuse to face the urgency of the situation. (...) One  of  the  best  strategies  to  prepare  for  green  economies  and  a  carbon-neutral  future  is  to  ensure  qualifications, programmes and curricula deliver 鈥榞reen skills鈥, be they for newly emerging occupations and sectors or for those sectors undergoing transformation for the low-carbon economy."

No trend is destiny
Democratic backsliding
  • Global freedom has been declining for more than 15 years 

"There has been a flourishing of increasingly active citizen participation and activism that is challenging discrimination and injustice worldwide (...) In educational content, methods and policy, we should promote active citizenship and democratic participation."

No trend is destiny freedom FoE
Changing lifelong education needs
  • There will be an estimated 380 million higher education students by 2030, up from roughly 220 million students were enrolled in formal post-secondary education in 2021

"Future policy agendas for higher education will need to embrace all levels of education and better account for non-traditional educational trajectories and pathways. Recognizing the interconnectedness of different levels and types of education, speaks to the need for a sector-wide, lifelong learning approach towards the future development of higher education."

Lifelong learning needs
Technological disruption
  • Less than 10% of school and universities have guidance on educational uses of AI

"The challenge of creating decent human-centered work is about to get much harder as Artificial Intelligence (AI), automation and structural transformations remake employment landscapes around the globe. At the same time, more people and communities are recognizing the value of care work and the multiple ways that economic security needs to be provisioned.鈥

technology no trend is destiny FoE
Disinformation
  • Fake news travel 6 times faster than true stories via Twitter - such disinformation undermines a shared perception of truth and reality

"Digital technologies, tools and platforms can be bent in the direction of supporting human rights, enhancing human capabilities, and facilitating collective action in the directions of peace, justice, and sustainability (...) A primary educational challenge is to equip people with tools for making sense of the oceans of information that are just a few swipes or keystrokes away."

No trend is destiny disinformation FoE
Uncertain future of work
  • Employers anticipate a structural 鈥渓abour market churn鈥 (or disruption) of 23% of jobs in the next five years, resulting in a net decrease of 2% of current employment due to environmental, technological and economic trends.

"Underemployment, the inability to find work that matches one鈥檚 aspirations, skillset and capabilities, is a persistent and growing global problem, even among university graduates in many of the world鈥檚 wealthiest countries. This mismatch is combustible: social scientists have shown that a highly educated population unable to apply its skills and competencies in decent work, leads to discontent, agitation and sometime sparks political and civil strife... Learning must be relevant to the world of work. Young people need strong support upon educational completion to be integrated into labour markets and contribute to their communities and societies according to their potential."

No trend is destiny work FoE
Sources
  • CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS: Global population in 2080s: 10.4 billion ( World Population Prospects, 2022) /Africa 1/3 population ( World Population Prospects, 2022)
  • AGING POPULATIONS: 1.6 billion people over 65 in 2050 (UNDESA , 2023)
  • PLANETARY CRISIS: Humans use 1.75 Earths () / Global temperatures to increase 2.7 degrees by 2100 ( Synthesis Report, 2021)
  • DEMOCRATIC BACKSLIDING: Global freedom has been declining for more than 15 years ( Freedom in the World report, 2023)

* All figures correct as of 2023.

No trends is destiny
Sources (continued)
  • TECHNOLOGY: Less that 10% of school and universities have guidance on educational uses of AI (UNESCO study, 2023)
  • DISINFORMATION: Fake news travel 6 times faster than true stories via Twitter ( study, 2018)
  • UNCERTAIN FUTURE OF WORK: Net decrease of 2% of employment over next 5 years ( Futures of Work report, 2023) 
  • CHANGING LIFELONG EDUCATION APPROACHES: 320 million students by 2030 ( blog, 2022)

* All figures correct as of 2023.

No trends is destiny

The third in a series of major visioning exercises for education

 is the third in a series of UNESCO-led once-a-generation foresight and visioning exercises, conducted at key moments of historical transition. 

In 1972, the  report already warned of the risks of inequalities, and emphasized the need for the continued expansion of education, for education throughout life and for building a learning society.

This was followed by the 1996 report that proposed an integrated vision of education around four pillars: learning to be, learning to know, learning to do, and learning to live together in a lifelong perspective.

Publications FoE

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

In 2019 the Director鈥揋eneral of UNESCO convened an independent International Commission to work under the leadership of the President of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, Her Excellency President Sahle-Work Zewde, and develop a global report on the Futures of Education. The 18 members of the Commission were thought-leaders from the worlds of politics, academia, the arts, science, business, and education. The International Commission was charged with carefully considering inputs received through the different consultation processes and ensuring that this collective intelligence was reflected in the global report and other knowledge products connected with the Initiative.

The mandate of the International Commission on the Futures of Education was to collectively reflect on how education might need to be re-thought in a world of increasing complexity, uncertainty, and precarity. The International Commission was invited to challenge and re-evaluate the foundational principles laid out in previous UNESCO global reports about education. Looking towards the year 2050 and beyond, the report suggested visions and strategies for both education policy and education practice to adopt, taking into consideration of the longstanding UNESCO commitment to a pluralistic, integrated and humanistic approach to education and knowledge as public goods. Overall, the International Commission focused on rethinking the role of education, learning and knowledge in light of the tremendous challenges and opportunities of predicted, possible, and preferred futures.

UNESCO鈥檚 Futures of Education Initiative used the concept of futures in the plural in order to recognize that there is a rich diversity of ways of knowing and being around the world. The plural form also acknowledges that there are multiple dimensions to the future and that there will likely be various desirable and undesirable futures 鈥 all of which will vary greatly depending on who you are and where you stand. Rather than attempting to chart a single future, looking at futures in the plural validates multiple possible and desirable futures of humanity on our shared planet.

UNESCO鈥檚 Futures of Education Initiative also approached the future as a space for democratic design that is connected to, but not limited by, past and present. Its approach was to build on dedicated evidence-based trend analysis that can help shine light on anticipated challenges and opportunities. This is complemented by participatory mechanisms for envisioning new possible futures of education. Consultations across world regions tapped into the visions and aspirations of a wide range of stakeholders under the understanding that innovation and ownership of the future need to be locally anchored, as well as globally discussed.

The Initiative embraced a fluid, iterative, and collective approach to futures-making to generate discussion and action on the role of education, knowledge and learning in view of the predicted, possible and preferred futures of humanity and the planet.

UNESCO鈥檚 Futures of Education Initiative looked towards the horizon of 2050 and beyond in order to anticipate and shape both nearer and more distant futures. One of the key messages of the International Commission on the Futures of Education's report is that "no trend is destiny". By taking a longer time frame in which to reimagine our futures, we open space for more innovative thinking and reason for hope.

Whilst education is a key element of the , with its own dedicated Sustainable Development Goal (SDG4), there is still an urgent need to look beyond this fast-approaching horizon. While the  lays out a roadmap for the transformation of education systems and affirms a central commitment to inclusion and equity, we must still ask what education might yet become 鈥 and what education might yet enable us to become.

Focus group discussions: Thousands of individuals from more than 75 countries came together to collectively reimagine how knowledge and learning can shape the future of humanity and the planet. Participants included students, youth, educators, parents, government officials, and academics as well as business leaders, civil society and nongovernmental organizations. The findings were analysed in two report:

Moeller, K., Agaba, S., Hook, T., Jiang, S., Otting, J., Sedighi, M. and Wyss, N. 2021. . Paper commissioned for the UNESCO Futures of Education report. 

TakingITGlobal. 2021. : Perspectives from the UNESCO Associated School Network鈥檚 community of students, teachers and parents. Paper commissioned for the UNESCO Futures of Education

Polls: Over 100,000 people responded to the 1-minute survey, identifying key priorties for the education sector, whilst more than 55,000 people engaged with social media polls.

The Futures of Education Initiative commissioned some 30 background papers to advance thinking on the key issues laid out by the International Commission. They are loosely grouped under 5 themes:

  • Human and Planetary Sustainability
  • Knowledge Production, Access and Governance
  • Citizenship and Participation
  • Work and Economic Security
  • Thematically Cross-Cutting Issues

All of these papers are available on UNESCO's Digital Library at this .

These papers have not been edited by UNESCO: the views and opinions expressed in these papers are those of the author(s) and should not be attributed to UNESCO.  

The UNESCO Secretariat also reviewed over 200 reports to support the International Commission on the Futures of Education (September 2019 - October 2020) to get a picture of the state of research on the future of education. This review identified 9 key questions:

  • Public or private good: Who pays for education in the future?
  • Singular or diverse curricula: Which perspectives will be included in the curricula of the future?
  • Early learning or lifelong learning: When in life is learning most important?
  • Personalized learning or collective endeavour: Should learning be tailored to the needs of individuals or groups?
  • Transformation or incremental change: Is transformational change needed for education?
  • Similar or diverse education trajectories: Will education become more or less similar across countries?
  • Top-down or bottom-up change: Will changes in education be top-down or bottom-up?
  • Optimist or pessimistic future: Are writers optimistic or pessimistic about the future of education?
  • Probable or preferred futures: Are writers more concerned about the future we will get or the future we want?

This new social contract should be grounded in two foundational principles: an expanded vision of the right to education throughout life, and the strengthening of education as a public and a common good. It is not an abandonment of all that we have collectively learned and experienced about education so far, but neither is it a mere course correction on a path already defined and set. Educators, communities, youth and children, families have long identified the limitations of existing educational systems and pioneered new approaches to overcoming them. Yet, without collective moments of structured dialogue about renewal of education, efforts often occur in isolation or with limited impact to large institutional machinery.

Find out more here.